- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ECMWF 9.2 m/s vs ICON Global 3.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (LEW 13.5 m/s vs ICON Global 6.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (18.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (2.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (LEW 8.2 m/s vs ICON Global 2.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (LEW 7.5 m/s vs ECMWF 2.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)