- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (AROME 13.6 m/s vs LEW 7.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.5 m/s) (GFS27 10.9 m/s vs ECMWF 3.4 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability