- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (AROME 12.2 m/s vs ICON Global 5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.1 m/s, gusts 12.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.6 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.1 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability