Katiki/Shag Point: weather statistics and wind history

45.3219° S, 170.839° E
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.8 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (27.5 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.9 m/s) (GFS27 17.8 m/s vs ECMWF 10.9 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.5°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 18.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
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