Katiki/Shag Point: weather statistics and wind history

45.3219° S, 170.839° E
22.10.2026
  • Wind too light – not suitable (4.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
23.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 27% probability
24.10.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 35% probability
25.10.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
26.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 17.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
27.10.2026
  • High gust forecast (20.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
28.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
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