Hawkes Bay - Wairoa: weather statistics and wind history

39.062° S, 177.43° E
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 15.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 73% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 33% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (ICON Global 11.5 m/s vs GFS27 4.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 27% probability
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