Gisborne - Loisells: weather statistics and wind history

38.6732° S, 178.088° E
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ECMWF 12.2 m/s vs ICON Global 6.2 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 14.3 m/s vs ICON Global 8.9 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 29% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 9.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 34% probability
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