Picton: weather statistics and wind history

41.18° S, 174.03° E
22.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • High gust forecast (20.4 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (LEW 14.7 m/s vs ECMWF 9.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • High gust forecast (23.0 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (LEW 17.0 m/s vs ECMWF 11.3 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.5°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 18.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.8°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (LEW 10.6 m/s vs GFS27 5.3 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 15.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (ICON Global 11.6 m/s vs ECMWF 4.4 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
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