Tugnao: weather statistics and wind history

42.2874° S, 73.0488° W
21.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (3.9 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.3°C)
22.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
  • Caution – short wave period (3.3 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.5°C)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.3 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 39% probability
  • Caution – short wave period (3.0 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.7°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.2 m/s) (ECMWF 13.4 m/s vs LEW 4.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (1.4 m)
  • Caution – short wave period (5.3 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.4°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • High gust forecast (21.2 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.7 m/s) (ECMWF 18.0 m/s vs LEW 10.3 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (2.1 m)
  • Caution – short wave period (6.3 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.5°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (1.1 m)
  • Caution – short wave period (4.5 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.6°C)
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