Smiths Beach: weather statistics and wind history

38.5055° S, 145.255° E
03.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • High gust forecast (20.7 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 11.9 m/s vs LEW 6.6 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (ECMWF 11.0 m/s vs LEW 5.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 44% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
*Experimental

New feature: Breeze Index! See how likely a breeze is to form, right in the forecast. Available in weather alerts and the meteogram.

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Closest meteostation (24.48km):

Smiths Beach is located on the south coast of Phillip Island, just a short drive from the town of Cowes. It is known for its consistent waves, which are suitable for intermediate surfers. The beach has a sand bottom and a relatively gentle slope, which can make for some fun and manageable waves. However, it’s important to note that the surf can be affected by the wind, so it’s worth checking the weather forecast before heading out.

In terms of water temperature, Smiths Beach can be quite cold in winter, with temperatures ranging from around 11 to 14 degrees Celsius (52 to 57 degrees Fahrenheit). As with Woolamai Beach, it’s important to wear a wetsuit that is suitable for these conditions to stay warm and comfortable in the water.

Also, it’s important to be aware of any potential hazards, such as rocks or rips. The beach is patrolled by lifeguards during the summer months, but there may not be lifeguards on duty during the winter. As such, it’s important to surf within your ability level and to exercise caution when entering and exiting the water.

If you’re looking to improve your skills, this place can be great for that. There are plenty of other sportsmen around who can offer tips and advice, and the consistent waves provide ample opportunities to practice. With the right gear and a sensible approach, you can enjoy a fun and challenging experience at this popular spot.


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