ngakuta bay: weather statistics and wind history

41.2719° S, 173.963° E
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (LEW 14.4 m/s vs ICON Global 7.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (1.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.3 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (LEW 8.8 m/s vs GFS27 3.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 8.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 30% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (1.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • High breeze chance — 88% probability
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