- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.7 m/s) (AROME 15.1 m/s vs ECMWF 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.7 m/s, gusts 17.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.4 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)