- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 8.3 m/s vs ICON Global 2.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 10.8 m/s vs ECMWF 4.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)