- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.3 m/s) (GFS27 11.7 m/s vs ICON Global 3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 10.6 m/s vs ECMWF 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)