- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 8.8 m/s vs LEW 2.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 69% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 12.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 49% probability