- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (AROME 10.8 m/s vs GFS27 5.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.0 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 5.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 5.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)