- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.5°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 77% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.9 m/s) (LEW 10.8 m/s vs ICON Global 2.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.6°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.4 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.8 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (GFS27 15.4 m/s vs ECMWF 8.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.7°C)