- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ACCESS-C 12.4 m/s vs GFS27 6.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (ACCESS-C 11.2 m/s vs GFS27 5.0 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- High gust forecast (21.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- High gust forecast (22.8 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (LEW 13.5 m/s vs ECMWF 7.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 11.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability