- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- High water temperature (25.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.4 m/s, gusts 4.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.2 m)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.1 m)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.0 m)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 62% probability
- Wave height – experience required (1.2 m)
- High water temperature (25.1°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 8.4 m/s vs ICON Global 3.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.2 m)
- High water temperature (25.2°C)