- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (AROME 11.5 m/s vs ICON Global 4.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.9 m/s, gusts 9.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 80% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 67% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 5.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability