- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (AROME 14.9 m/s vs ICON Global 9.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.1 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.8 m/s, gusts 13.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 11.0 m/s) (GFS27 13.7 m/s vs ICON EU 2.8 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 90% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 69% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)