- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 11.0 m/s) (AROME 17.7 m/s vs LEW 6.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (GFS27 13.8 m/s vs AROME 7.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.9 m/s, gusts 16.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 10.8 m/s vs ECMWF 4.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.2 m/s)