- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ECMWF 10.4 m/s vs GFS27 5.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 5.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 73% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability