- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (AROME 11.3 m/s vs ECMWF 3.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 5.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 74% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)