- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 11.4 m/s vs ICON Global 5.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (LEW 7.1 m/s vs ECMWF 1.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability