- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 10.6 m/s vs ICON Global 4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 49% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (LEW 7.1 m/s vs ECMWF 1.9 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 75% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability