- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 10.1 m/s vs ICON Global 3.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.9 m/s, gusts 11.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 56% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)