- High gust forecast (20.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 13.0 m/s vs LEW 8.0 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 18.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 12.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 56% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 16.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (16.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability