- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 6.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 12.5 m/s vs LEW 6.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability