- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 11.7 m/s vs LEW 6.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (AROME 10.0 m/s vs LEW 4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 14.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.3 m/s, gusts 14.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 12.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)