- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (AROME 14.3 m/s vs ECMWF 8.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.5 m/s, gusts 16.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (GFS27 10.3 m/s vs ICON EU 3.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 11.4 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 76% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.3 m/s, gusts 14.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)