- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (AROME 11.0 m/s vs LEW 4.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 69% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)