- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (ECMWF 10.9 m/s vs ICON Global 5.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 84% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 95% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)