- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (HRRR 10.8 m/s vs ICON Global 4.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (HRRR 9.8 m/s vs ICON Global 3.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability