23.08.2026 (Sunday)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.2 m/s)
- High gust forecast (26.4 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (GFS27 17.2 m/s vs ECMWF 10.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.5°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 19.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (19.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ECMWF 12.1 m/s vs LEW 6.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (2.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
