- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.4 m/s) (AROME 13.8 m/s vs ECMWF 6.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 65% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)