Patarau: 気象統計と風の歴史

40.6414° S, 172.431° E
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (LEW 9.4 m/s vs ICON Global 4.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (LEW 14.5 m/s vs ICON Global 8.5 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.9 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 13.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.0 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (4.4 m)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (14.1 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
31.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (ECMWF 15.1 m/s vs ICON Global 9.5 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.4 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (5.0 m)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (15.3 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
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