Figure of 8: 気象統計と風の歴史

33.877° S, 121.879° E
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (17.1°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (17.3°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.3 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.5 m/s) (GFS27 15.3 m/s vs ICON Global 6.7 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
  • Wetsuit required (16.8°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.9 m/s) (ECMWF 13.0 m/s vs ICON Global 4.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Wetsuit required (16.7°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (16.7°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
  • Wetsuit required (17.3°C)
*Experimental

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