- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.5 m/s) (HRRR 11.4 m/s vs ICON Global 3.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- High water temperature (25.0°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- High water temperature (25.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- High water temperature (25.2°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)