- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 72% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 8.6 m/s vs ACCESS-C 3.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 14.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability