- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 9.3 m/s vs LEW 3.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 15.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (ICON Global 10.0 m/s vs LEW 4.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.8°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (GFS27 11.2 m/s vs ICON Global 4.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 10.8 m/s vs ECMWF 4.4 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability