- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.5°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 13.9 m/s vs LEW 7.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
- High gust forecast (20.3 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 14.8 m/s vs LEW 9.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ICON Global 9.5 m/s vs ECMWF 3.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.3 m/s)
- High gust forecast (23.5 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 12.1 m/s) (GFS27 16.3 m/s vs ECMWF 4.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)