- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (AROME 13.9 m/s vs ECMWF 8.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.2 m/s, gusts 16.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 10.5 m/s vs ICON Global 3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 77% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 15.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)