- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.1 m/s) (GFS27 12.5 m/s vs ICON Global 3.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.6°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (HRRR 10.1 m/s vs ICON Global 3.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.6°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.7°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.8°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.7°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (5.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.6°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)