- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (HRRR 8.9 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Wetsuit required (15.0°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Wetsuit required (15.3°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Wetsuit required (15.7°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Wetsuit required (15.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)