- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.3 m/s) (HRRR 12.8 m/s vs ICON Global 4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.5°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (HRRR 9.8 m/s vs ICON Global 4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.7°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 8.2 m/s vs ICON Global 3.2 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 76% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.4°C)