Matai Wreck: 気象統計と風の歴史

21.2036° S, 159.775° W
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Low breeze chance — 41% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (ECMWF 12.1 m/s vs LEW 7.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (ECMWF 13.8 m/s vs LEW 7.8 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.9 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.2 m)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.4 m)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.2 m)
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