Thirteenth Beach: 気象統計と風の歴史

38.2879° S, 144.466° E
31.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.9 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.6 m/s) (LEW 10.8 m/s vs ACCESS-C 3.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
02.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 13.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
03.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • High gust forecast (22.2 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (LEW 12.0 m/s vs ICON Global 6.0 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • High gust forecast (23.6 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.5 m/s) (GFS27 13.1 m/s vs ICON Global 4.6 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
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