- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 15.2 m/s vs LEW 8.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 12.7 m/s vs LEW 6.1 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (ECMWF 12.5 m/s vs LEW 6.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 13.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability