Christmas Rock: 気象統計と風の歴史

33.1927° S, 27.6394° E
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Low breeze chance — 26% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.2 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.7 m)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.8 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (20.3 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.7 m/s) (GFS27 16.8 m/s vs ICON Global 9.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.5 m)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 8.6 m/s vs ICON Global 3.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.9 m)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 12.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
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