- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.4 m/s) (AROME 11.6 m/s vs ICON EU 3.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.7 m/s, gusts 13.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 78% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 4.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)