- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.4 m/s) (AROME 11.6 m/s vs ICON EU 3.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability